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See How They Run
Posted on September 9, 2022 13:31
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NFL Kickoff, 2022: Josh Allen and the Bills ran over the vaunted Ram defense. For me, the most intriguing question of the 2022 season is: how much will the NFL’s top-paid QBs change their playing style? Unlike Allen, some of the league’s most mobile QBs may run less to avoid injury. If so, that could have a major impact on teams’ success.
At the critical quarterback position, 'runners’ are QBs that regularly execute Run-Pass Option (RPO) plays and other designed QB runs. A speedy QB adds extra complexity for defenses to deal with. The current crop of what I would call ‘running’ QBs include:
1. Jacoby Brissett (Browns)
2. Justin Fields (Bears)
3. Jalen Hurts (Eagles)
4. Trey Lance (49ers)
5. Geno Smith (Seahawks)
6. Mitchell Trubisky (Steelers).
Now, there are several young, mobile QBs, and they will all run the occasional RPO — but ‘occasional’ is not enough for me to list them with the runners above. On my list of ‘young, mobile’ QBs, I include:
1. Joe Burrow (Bengals)
2. Justin Herbert (Chargers)
3. Trevor Lawrence (Jaguars)
4. Marcus Mariota (Falcons)
5. Tua Tagovailoa (Dolphins).
Ok, now let’s consider the following ten marquee QBs. Many of them are former runners — and note that most of these veteran players now have huge salaries. I label them ‘mobile veterans’. My list includes:
1. Lamar Jackson (Ravens)
2. Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)
3. Baker Mayfield (Panthers)
4. Kyler Murray (Cardinals)
5. Dak Prescott (Cowboys)
6. Aaron Rodgers (Packers)
7. Deshaun Watson (Browns)
8. Carson Wentz (Commanders)
9. Russell Wilson (Broncos)
10. Jameis Winston (Saints).
My list is obviously predicting that a few past runners like Lamar Jackson and Kyler Murray will be transitioning to 'mobile veterans'. My list contains several QBs whose teams crashed and burned after they went down with serious injuries — and yet, teams signed big contracts for these franchise players. Mobile veterans certainly can (and will) extend plays, but they and their teams are actively seeking ways to better protect these ‘high-priced assets’.
In 2022, we will likely get more evidence on which players are truly altering their playing style — and we will learn if their teams' offensive potency falls off. In today’s NFL, just a little less offensive punch can profoundly affect team success.
With that in mind, let’s look at the exciting Week One schedule. Here is the star-studded lineup — and my picks:
Home Away My Pick
Bills Rams Bills Check!
Saints Falcons Falcons
Browns Panthers Panthers
49ers Bears 49ers
Steelers Bengals Bengals
Eagles Lions Lions
Colts Texans Colts
Patriots Dolphins Dolphins
Ravens Jets Jets
Jaguars Commanders Jaguars
Giants Titans Titans
Chiefs Cardinals Chiefs
Raiders Chargers Raiders
Packers Vikings Packers
Bucs Cowboys Bucs SNF
Broncos Seahawks Broncos MNF
Again, my 14 playoff picks are (alphabetically): NFC - Bucs, Cowboys, Eagles, Falcons, Packers, Rams, Saints. AFC - Bengals, Bills, Chiefs, Colts, Raiders, Ravens, Titans.
Fans: Walk, don’t run. Take your places — and enjoy!
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